Week 8 NFL Picks

Week 8 has some good games in play including a 9:30 London game that could make or break two teams with high hopes coming into the season. We have Aaron Rodgers playing as the largest underdog in his career at -8 to the Rams. We have the Vikings and the Saints playing in a rematch of the Minnesota Miracle. Then to top it off we have Derek Anderson getting the national spotlight in Orchard Park on Monday night Football. Last week 10/14 games went under, so I expect two things to happen. I expect Vegas to set the point totals lower than we’ve seen in past weeks and I expect the public to be heavy on the overs. Just scrolling through the Sports action app I’m seeing that currently 9/13 of the remaining games have a higher percentage of bets being placed on the over. Alright enough chit chat onto the picks.

Eagles vs Jags (+4)

I bet on Jacksonville last week on the premise that if they weren’t able to win against the Texans their season would be over. Now they do have a pretty easy schedule the rest of the way with only 3 of their remaining opponents currently sitting above .500. However you don’t want to put yourself in a scenario where you have to win out in order to make it into the playoffs. The Eagles are in a similar boat as they are also 3-4, but they don’t have the luxury of an easy remaining schedule. The Jags secondary is in rough shape as Ramsey is the only starting corner healthy. The Jaguars have the experience of traveling to London in years past and it has been good to them as they have yet to lose a game across the pond. Last week I bet the under in the London game and that hit so I think I’m gonna stick with it again as the Total is currently at 43.5. Pick: Under 43.5 Prediction: Eagles 20 Jags 16

Bucs @ Bengals (-4.5)

Cincinnati coming in losers of 2 straight and coming of a beat down at the hands of the Chiefs. I have liked the Bengals so far this year, I think their offense is explosive and they have some capable play makers. Tampa Bay has been up and down this year and other than the Saints game have played poorly on the road. I think this will be a high scoring game but Dalton will make less mistakes than Winston and Cincinnati will cover. Pick: Bengals -4.5 Prediction: Bengals 31 TB 24

Ravens @ Carolina (+2)

This is a line that kinda baffles me. Carolina is 4-2 on the year and are home dogs against the Ravens who just suffered a heart breaker against New Orleans. I always look at the injury reports for the games but I didn’t see anything that would make me think Carolina should be under dogs at home. The line opened as Carolina -1, so something isn’t adding up. I like Carolina, I like Cam Newton and I expect them to win this one. Also I got the Panthers at -105 odds? Something isn’t adding up, but I’m sticking with my gut. Pick: Carolina +2 Prediction: Carolina 24 Ravens 20. 

Washington @ NYG (+1.5)

82% of the bets are on the Redskins in this one, which makes sense because Eli Manning is a dead man walking. I was expecting the line to be Wash -6, which I still would have taken but at -1.5? I mean the Giants are dead their fans are already starting a tank for Herbert movement. Herbert also thinks the Giants are dead and would rather go back to college another year than play for a franchise who is 6 feet under ground, rotting from the inside out and being eaten by maggots. Pick: Wash -1.5 Prediction: Wash 77 NYG 12

IND @ OAK (+3.5)

The Raiders much like the Giants are dead, Derek Carr has lost the respect of his teammates after he cried during last weeks game. Jon Gruden has lost the locker room less than half a season in to his 10 year 100 million dollar contract, not great. Having said all that you might expect me to be on the Colts, but not so fast my friends there is a better bet out there. The total is 51 right now and I don’t think there is a chance in hell this game goes over that. Pick: Under 51 Prediction: IND 27 OAK 17

NO @ MINN (+1.5)

The Saints return to the scene of last years NFC Divisional round where they lost maybe the most heart breaking game these eyes have ever seen. New Orleans has been on an absolute tear since they lost week 1 against the Bucs. The Vikings are also coming in to this one on a little winning streak of their own, winners of 3 straight so this one should be a good game. I don’t buy the whole revenge game aspect of this one, and if I would have wrote this when the line opened I would have probably gone the other way. But the Vikings being under dogs at home is too good to pass on. Pick: Minn +1.5 Prediction: Minn 28 NO 27

-Big Dog

 

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