Week 9 NFL Picks

Alright so were gonna need to make this quick because I have to build a shed before the 1 o’clock games start or else it won’t get done till the spring.

Kansas City @ Cleveland (+10)

There was a time earlier in the season when I loved betting on the Browns, but that was back when they had hope. They were 2-2-1, their best record since WWI, coming off a big win against the Ravens at home, and it seemed like things were looking up. Just 4 weeks later, their head coach and OC have been fired and their once promising season seems headed for the same old Browns outcome. What is even more unfortunate for the Browns is that they’re welcoming in the Chiefs who have looked like a top 4 team in the NFL so far this year. Now normally I wouldn’t bet a game with a 10 point home underdog but I have a feeling this one will get ugly in Cleveland. Pick: KC -10 Prediction: KC 45 Cle 10

TB @ Carolina (-6.5)

This is a game where I didn’t even need to know the line to know who I was betting on. The Bucs will be starting Fitzmagic this week as it appears the Winston era is coming to a close in Tampa, and what an era it was. An era where your starting quarterback had more sexual assault cases brought against him than he had playoff appearances. An era where your quarterback physically ate his hands before playing a NFL game. Winston is a dirt bag and I’m glad he was sent to the bench. Unfortunately for the Bucs the guy they are bringing in is the definition of hit or miss. I think today he will be much more miss. Pick: CAR -6.5 Prediction: CAR 42 TB 28

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore (-1.5)

After a rocky start to the season Pittsburgh seems to have righted the ship. Winners of 3 straight after their loss to Baltimore in week 4. Games between these two teams always seem to be close no matter what, and I think Pittsburgh is just the better team. Baltimore got smoked by Carolina last week and I know I’ve said it before but I’ll say it again, the Ravens really haven’t beat any good opponents. I think the Steelers are better and I think they win outright but I’m still gonna take the points to be safe. Pick: Pitt +1.5 Predcition: Pitt 27 BAL 24

SHED UPDATE: I tried to start building the shed, realized it was gonna take way longer than the 30 minutes I set aside for it. Guess it’s gonna have to wait till spring.

Chargers @ Seattle (PK)

This game is a pick em’ and the Chargers are +100. I was planning to take the Chargers in this one regardless but the fact that you can get them at even money just solidifies that fact. I think this game will be high scoring but I think the Chargers offense will be too much for Seattle. Pick: Chargers PK Prediction LAC 34 SEA 31

Houston @ Denver (+1)

This line is a little confusing to me considering the Texans are winners of 5 straight and the Broncos still have Case Keenum as their quarterback. The Broncos also traded away their second best receiver and they traded him to the Texans. So the Texans loose Will Fuller for the year and then add Demaryius Thomas, not too shabby if you ask me. The Texans defense  has also been playing better of late as Watt and Clowney look to be fully healthy and reeking havoc in opponents back fields. Usually when I handicap games I’m close to what the actual line is but I had the Texans at -5.5 when I was looking at this game. I think the Texans are an easy winner here. Pick: Texans -1 Prediction: Hou 33 Den 21

Rams @ Saints (+1.5)

It’s really a shame that this game isn’t being played on Sunday Night football because this should be the best game of the week. You have the Saints winners of 6 straight and the Rams who are the lone remaining undefeated team. I think this game is going to be a shoot out, being played indoors with two of the most prolific offenses in football. The O/U might scare some people away from the over just because it is so high but I still like the over. Pick: Over 58 Prediction: LAR 35 NO 31

-Big Dog




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