Week 6 NFL Picks

Finally we get some early morning NFL London action. There is no better feeling knowing you have NFL football from when you wake up to when you go to bed. We don’t get the 9:30 am kickoff again until week 9 so enjoy it today while you can. Anyway let’s pick some winners.

SEA (-1) @ CLE (O/U 46)

I do not think this is how the Browns envisioned their season up to now going into this week. Their offense has been inconsistent. Their defense has shown flashes but been unable to string together performances. Baker Mayfield has been under the most scrutiny and rightfully so. He has looked downright bad most of the season. He leads the league with 8 INTs and only has 4 TDs, while completing just 56% of his throws. Coming out of Oklahoma, his accuracy was his best trait. The lines inability to give him a consistent pocket has forced him to throw to his first read and flee the pocket earlier then needed. Having said all this I do still think they can turn it around. The line opened up at CLE -2 and has since moved to SEA -1, with 69% of bettors putting their tickets in on the Seahawks. I think Cleveland can win this game and I think it’s a case where you bet on the Home Dawg. Pick: CLE +1 Prediction CLE 24 SEA 21

HOU @ KC (-3.5) (O/U 54.5)

Last week I bet the over in the KC vs IND game out of principal and while this one isn’t prime time the same sentiment remains. Give me the over and give me all the points. If you are a Bears fan you may want to go for a walk during this one if these teams start putting up points. It can’t be a good feeling watching Desean Watson and Patrick Mahomes battle for the MVP while Trubisky struggles to competently lead an offense. Pick: Over 54.5 Prediction: KC 38 HOU 35

NO @ JAC (-2.5) (O/U 42.5)

This is such a rat line but I still love it. I am just very confused how the Jags are favored in this one. I honestly thought I read it wrong initially. I almost feel like there is something Vegas knows that I don’t when I look at this line. The Saints don’t have any signifiacnt injuries other than Brees but he’s been out the past 3 weeks. The Saints only loss is to the Rams, in the game Brees went down. I’m hammering the Saints here, I just don’t understand this line at all, just call me a rat because I am taking the Vegas cheese. Pick: NO +2.5 Prediction: NO 27 JAC 21

SF @ LAR (-3.5) (O/U 50.5)

I bet against the 49ers last week but after watching them dismantle the Browns I came away impressed. Their running attack is electric and it’s exactly what you need to beat the Rams. That’s what the Rams hung their hat on the past 3 years. The Rams have struggled on offense this year and losing Gurley today isn’t going to help get them going. Having said that I think the Rams will come out fast, and I think their defensive front lead by Aaron Donald will look to control the LOS. I like the Under here because I think both teams will lean heavily on the run game and 50.5 is to high a number for me. Pick: Under 50.5 Prediction: LAR 24 SF 21

TENN @ DEN (-1.5) (O/U 41)

I can make this pick very easy for people out there. Do you want to put your hard earned money on a Joe Flacco lead offense. If the answer is no, then you take the easy choice which is Tennessee. If you answered yes to that question then you need a lobotomy and don’t have the mental capacity to bet on sports. Pick: TENN +1.5 Prediction: TENN 20 DEN 10

PITT @ LAC (-6.5) (O/U 42.5)

The Steelers will be starting their number 3 quarterback in this one, and as a fan of the Jets who started their 3rd string qb the past two weeks this one is going to be ugly. The Chargers haven’t started this year how they’d have liked going just 2-3 in their first 5. Their offense has been sporadic and their defense has been middle of the road. This is one where I like two bets, I like the under and I like the Chargers to cover. Pick: Under 42.5 and LAC -6.5 Prediction: LAC 24 PITT 10

-Big Dog

 

 

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