Yesterday I was dog shit, no other way to put it. I went 2-4 on my picks and 0-2 on my overs. Now some people might think because I was so wrong on the overs on Sunday that I would get scared and bet the under in Monday night. To those people I say go to hell. Now I have some stats on my side when it comes to betting the over in this game. Since 2008 the Over is 13-6 in Monday Night Football games featuring the Saints. Now this stat alone would be enough to convince me to bet the over but then I also saw the following. The over is 6-0 in the Raiders last 6 against NFC opponents and 5-0 in their last 5 against NFC South teams. Every single stat is trending to the over in this one, which would explain why 78% of bettors are taking the over. When that many people are taking the Over the only thing you can do is jump on board and root for points. Do you really think I would ever go against 78% of people on an Over? Even without Michael Thomas you know the Saints are going to put points on the board and I expect the Raiders to be able to keep pace better than most expect. They have a solid offensive line and Josh Jacobs is a top 7 back in the NFL. I will also add that if this game goes under you can expect me to bet all overs next weekend. I am going to keep hammering the over until I hit on them. The over is bound to hit on the games I give eventually.
Pick: Over 48.5
Prediction: NO 34 LV 31