I tried to tell everyone that I found my football notebook but they didn’t wanna listen. In my life time without my notebook I am a miserable 48.6% on picks, with my notebook I am an incredible 87.2% on my picks. Now just because those numbers are made up shouldn’t take away from the fact that I went 6-2 on all my picks yesterday and I am rolling into Monday looking to cap of the week.
I want to start of my analysis by saying it is taking everything in my power not to play a teaser in this game. I just love teasers so much and the one I want to play I just don’t see how it can lose. But I made a promise to myself and you the reader that I would give up the teaser after losing 5 in a row. So if you look at where the public is betting this game it’s the Under and the Bears. I get the Bears but I don’t get the love for the Under when the total is sitting at 44.5. Since Nick Foles has taken over at quarterback the Bears have failed to score over 20 just once. The Rams defensively have been good but they gave up 24 or more points to any team not in the NFC East this year. Offensively I don’t think we have seen the Ram play a complete game. There will be stretches where they look unstoppable and then stretches where they can’t move the ball. Another reason I like the over is because there is the potential for short fields, with two quarterbacks who you can turnover. Also I expect this game to be closer than the spread would lead you to believe, and close games can keep the over alive longer. In a year where we are seeing totals being set close to 60, when I see one below 46 I pounce on it.
Pick: Over 44.5
Big Dogs Betting 