We enter Week 12 and we have our first game where a team will be without an entire position group. The Broncos will be playing today against the Saints with all of their Quarterbacks in COVID protocol. They will be turning to practice squad WR former college quarterback Kendall Hinton. Despite not having a quarterback they are only 15.5 point underdogs. The Jets playing with their starting quarterback against the Chiefs were 21 point underdogs. That is both a glaring indictment of how bad the Jets are and leaves me wondering why the line is where it is. The Saints have one of the best defenses over the past few weeks so I don’t see how the Broncos are going to put up any points here. Along with that game being greatly affected by COVID protocol the Steelers Ravens game is another one that has already been affected and has the chance to be even more. The game which was supposed to played on Thanksgiving but due to an influx of COVID cases on the Ravens it was moved to Sunday. Since that point there have only been more COVID cases and the game is now slated for Tuesday. The NFL is doing everything it can to not cancel games which is commendable but it leaves teams playing severely short handed. The NFL needs to add an extra week or two to the end of the season to deal with these outbreaks. Also while the Jets may be 0-10, they are following COVID protocol so I think we should chalk this year as a win for them. Alright let’s make some picks.
NO @ DEN (-16)
I like two bets in this game and if you read the top it should be obvious. I like the Saints and the under 37. I just don’t see how the Broncos are able to score any points in his game. They might try and run an option offense but that’s not their normal system so their line would be playing blind. I think what will happen is they will run the ball 35 times and lose 27-0. This is a lost game in a lost season for them.
Picks: Under 37, NO -16
NYG @ CINN (O/U 45)
Am I the only one who watched the Bengals without Burrow last week? I mean they couldn’t move the ball. Why would this week be any different? The Giants do a good job against the run and are serviceable against the pass. This game stays under easy. It’s not like Daniel Jones is gonna light the scoreboard up.
Pick: Under 45
SF @ LAR (-5.5)
I know it’s tough to say a 7-3 team is underrated but that’s how I feel about the Rams. Each week they look more and more like the team that went to the Super Bowl 2 years ago. The 49ers on the other hand have had a disappointing season that was derailed early on due to injury. I mean i think their entire defense line from last year is either on a different team or missed time due to injury. I just don’t think they have the fire power on offense or defense to keep up with the Rams here. I like the Rams to cover easy.
Pick: LAR -5.5
KC @ TB (+3.5)
The Chiefs have looked like the Chiefs all year and I don’t expect them to have any trouble with the Bucs. Brady has shown his age on more than few occasions this year. The Chiefs defense is good enough to pressure Brady and cause him to look like the old man he is. Chiefs cover easy here.
Pick: KC -3.5
CHI @ GB (O/U 44.5)
The Bears are physically incapable of scoring more than 10 points. As long as they can limit the Packers to 31 or less then this game will stay under the total.
Pick: Under 44.5