Week 13 NFL Picks

Week 13 is upon us and we have a Monday Night Double header and a Tuesday Night game already on the docket. I for one like how spread out the NFL schedule is this week. Monday night should always be a double header and why not have a Tuesday and Thursday night game each week? I want to live in a world where there are football games on all 7 days of the week 365 days a year, is that too much to ask? Anyways we have a good betting slate this week so let’s get to some winners.

DET @ CHI (O/U 44.5)

The Lions have a good offense but a shitty defense and the Bears are the opposite. Still the best unit in this game is the Bears defense which should have no trouble slowing down the Lions who are still without Golladay. On offense the Bears stink and have a cap of about 24 points that they can score. As long as they hold the Lions to under 20 which shouldn’t be a problem this game stays under easy. The only thing to worry about is a defensive score which could hurt our under. Hopefully Matt can avoid turning it over multiple times and settle for FGs of off Mitchs multiple turnovers.

Pick: Under 44.5

CINN @ MIA (O/U 42.5)

Tua looks to be back starting for the Dolphins which is good news for people betting the under. When Tua is playing the Dolphins offense is a lot more conservative. Couple that with the fact that the Bengals are unlikely to score more than 7 points and this game stays under easy. I mean seriously Ryan Finlay is starting for the Bengals how does this game have more than 30 combined points.

Pick: Under 42.5

LAR @ ARI (+2.5)

I still believe in the Rams despite their loss last week to the 49ers. That loss is more indicative of the fact that Kyle Shannahan owns Sean McVay, than of the fact that the Rams are overrated. If you want to talk overrated look no further than the team on the other side of this matchup. The Cardinals are 1-3 in their last 4 and if it wasn’t for the fact that Buffalo can’t defend a Hail Mary they would be 0-4. At 2.5 I think the Rams cover easy here. Their defense is too good and if Goff can not turn it over 5 times this should be an easy win.

Pick: LAR -2.5

IND @ HOU (+3)

The Colts put up a stinker last week against the Titian allowing Derrick Henry to run all over them. Luckily for the Colts they are getting DeForrest back which should be all the boost they need to cover. It also helps that they are getting Denico Autry back the same week. Buckner is a game wrecker and will be able to put pressure on Watson all game. The Texans lost both Fuller and Roby to PED suspensions this week. It’s shocking that a team with Brian Cushing on staff would get busted for PEDs. That guy was as straight edge as they came during his career. Anyway the Colts should cover 3 easy.

Pick: IND -3

DEN @ KC (O/U 51.5)

As much as it kills me to take 3 unders in one week that is what I must do to get some winners on the board. This under bet is again an indictment on the Broncos who I don’t think will crack 20 points. As long as the Chiefs stay under 35 than I think this game stays under easy. Even if they don’t there is still a good chance the Broncos don’t crack double digits. Yes they get their starting quarterback back after having to play with a practice squad WR last week, but it’s important to remember the starting quarterback is still Drew Lock. Yes he is an upgrade but he still stinks at football.

Pick: Under 51.5

-Big Dog

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s