Super Wild Card weekend was a rough one betting for the big dog. Going 0-6 was a nightmare for me, but my bookie was on cloud nine. The only thing I can do is pick myself back up and bet some divisional games to make back some of the losses. Let’s make some picks!
LAR @ GB (O/U 45)
It’s a tough look for Jared Goff that even after coming in and winning last week McVay wasn’t able to commit to him as starter until Wofford was ruled out. The Rams formula in this game is the same one as last week, play great defense run the ball and avoid turnovers. The Rams got some good news this week as Aaron Donald will be back, but I think the most important matchup in this one is Ramsey vs Adams. The list of receivers Ramsey has such down this year is incredible. It reminds me a lot Revis on the Jets when they went to back to back AFC Championships. When you have a corner who can shut down half the field it make life easier for every other defender. Adams was arguably the top receiver this year and has the MVP throwing to him so Ramsey will have his work cut out for him. I think the safe bet here is the Under 45. The Rams aren’t likely to light up the score board and I think the Packers will struggle against the Rams top ranked defense.
Pick: Under 45
BAL @ BUFF (-2.5)
I think this is the game I am most looking forward to this weekend. Neither team has lost a game in over a month. The Bills were lucky to escape last week with a win as the Colts did a horrible job managing that game. They will need to play better here to beat the Ravens. The Bills have been bad against the run this year which doesn’t bode well when playing Lamar and this Ravens teams. The Bills need to jump out to an early lead and force Lamar to beat them through the air. I think they come out and let Josh Allen sling it around the yard and will be able to get up early and never look back. I like the Bills to cover here.
Pick: BUFF -2.5
CLE @ KC (-10)
I bet against the Browns last week and I will not make that mistake again. The Browns get back some key players from the COVID list as well as their head coach. The Chiefs have been good this year but have been bad against the spread. At 10 points I think the Browns are able to stay within that number. I don’t think they will win but to be double digit underdogs against a team who hasn’t been great against the spread seems high.
Pick: CLE +10
TB @ NO (O/U 51.5)
The two times these teams have met the Saints put up 34 and 38 points against the Bucs. Now you might be asking yourself how that is possible when the Bucs have a top defensive coordinator like Todd Bowles. The answer is Todd Bowles stinks and the Bucs defense is not as good as many think. The Saints defense however is extremely good and I think will be able to limit the Bucs scoring. I think 51.5 is too high for this game considering the last time they met the total was 41.
Pick: Under 51.5